Ukraine’s Proposed Presidential Election Frozen

May 13, 2009

Ukraine’s Constitutional Court has ruled against an Autumn Presidential Election, Freezing the date for the election and throwing the country into further political and economic uncertainty.

The decision of the Constitutional Court comes as no surprise but is of no comfort to Ukraine’s President, Viktor Yushchenko, either

Yushchenko’s desperate attempt to cling on to power for an additional three months, will force Ukraine to the polls in the midst of Ukraine’s bitter cold winter. With temperatures well below freezing a January Election is not going to improve Yushchenko chances of a surprise victory. Recent opinion polls indicate a public support for Viktor Yushchenko as low as 2.2%.

The last things Ukraine needs is a prolonged Presidential campaign.

The sooner Ukraine can go to the polls and elect a new head of state the better off Ukraine will be.

A prolonged campaign would only add to political and economic uncertainty.

If Yushchenko cared for Ukraine and upheld democratic values he would realise he can not win a second term of office and he would offer his resignation so as to pave the way for an early presidential ballot in Autumn.

Do not expect Yushchenko to act in the best interest of Ukraine. In fact we can expect that things will get worst as Yushchenko once again, in an act of desperation, seeks to destabilise Ukraine and try and force another round of Parliamentary elections.

In 2007 Victor Yushchenko unconstitutionally dismissed Ukraine’s previous Parliament throwing Ukraine into seven months of political turmoil and civil unrest. In 2008, Yushchenko then sought to dismiss Ukraine’s current parliament in order to prevent the parliament from reaching consensus and support for Constitutional change.

Yushchenko’s planned Presidential coup was derailed when his own political faction rebelled and rejected his attempts to dismiss the Tymoshenko lead Government.

Recent events in Germany has seen one of the main leaders of the Presidential rebellion, Ukraine’s Interior Minister – Yuri Lutsenko, forced to resign.

Those connected to the President are expected to use Lutsenko’s resignation as a means to further destabilize Ukraine in the hope of resurrecting Yushchenko’s proposed Presidential coup and the possibility of extending Yushchenko’s term of office.

If Yushchenko is to try and make a move he will have to do so before July. Come July the President loses the authority to dismiss Ukraine’s parliament. (Ukraine’s Constitution Article 90)

Poll: Yushchenko rated the least supported President in Ukraine’s history

May 13, 2009

Poll: Yanukovych, Tymoshenko, Yatseniuk and Lytvyn top presidential election list

Today, 14:51 | Interfax-Ukraine
Published in the Kyiv Post

Poll: Yanukovych, Tymoshenko, Yatseniuk and Lytvyn top presidential election list
The list of leading presidential candidates includes Leader of the Regions Party Victor Yanukovych, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, Head of the Front for Changes Initiative Arseniy Yatseniuk and Parliament Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn.

These are the findings of a poll conducted by the Inmark Center and announced by its director, Viktor Berest, at a press conference at Interfax-Ukraine on Wednesday.

According to the poll, most Ukrainians are ready vote in the presidential elections. Some 32.5% said that they are ready to vote if the elections are held in the near future. Some 28.2% will “possibly” vote.

Among those who said they will vote, some 24.2% support Yanukovych, 15.2% will vote for Tymoshenko, 10.7% will vote for Yatseniuk and 9.3% for Lytvyn. Ukrainian President Viktor Yuschenko gained the support of only 2.2% of those polled.

According to the poll, Yuschenko tops the “anti-rating” of presidential candidates. When asked to name the candidate they least wanted to see as president, some 52.3% named Yuschenko, 34.7% named Tymoshenko and 25.9% named Yanukovych. Parliament Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn had the lowest anti-rating of 3.1%.

Berest also said that the ratings might change depending on the economic situation in the country, the financial resources of candidates and their access to the media.

“Time is working against Yanukovych and Tymoshenko,” he added.

On the other hand, he was critical of Yanukovych’s bid to become president.

“Yanukovych may lose voters because of his passiveness. I think he will not [win the elections],” Berest said.

The poll was held from April 21 to May 4 2009. Some 6,573 people over the age of 18 were interviewed in all the regions of Ukraine. The poll’s average margin of error is 1.3%.

WHO under the microscope. Pigs can fly

May 3, 2009

The World Health Organisation (WHO) may have a few questions to answer following last weeks International Swine Flue scare which threw the world into a squeal and Airports turned into the first line of defense as Pigs came under the microscope.

The alarm bells were rung costing billions of dollars in lost productivity and billions in government expenditure with poorer nations, such as Ukraine, being the hardest hit on a per capita basis.

Millions of live stock producers where effected as the world turned a pandemic into pandemonia.

Whilst WHO are cautious not to say that the Swine flue scare is over there are already reports of a world government back down with announcements that the Swine Flue alarm my not be as server as first claimed. It looks as though the flue epidemic may be no worst then your common garden variety of Flue which infects millions of people every season and in the past would not have been identified or may have gone unreported.

This of course is no help or little comfort to those pigs who had lost their lives and farmers who had lost livestock as the world reacted to the WHO alert. There will be many issues raised and reviews undertaken to determine exactly what happened when and how the international community copped in its reaction to the alarm. One wonder what would happen to Ukraine should a real verial strain of a virus hit Ukraine. Ukraine’s main natural line of defense is its Winter of course but one can not help think that mountain of garbage that has began to litter the country and its cities.

The epidemic crisis was not helped by a President seeking to place all blame and responsibility on his political enemies whilst hand balling any responsibility, which is what Viktor Yuschenko had done. Maybe Yushchenko would be better off placing his energy in getting Ukrainian authorities to start cleaning up the Country as a visit to Ukraine is at times like visiting a garbage dump (literally).

The pig flue did manage to achieve one thing. It bumped the economy off the front page for page and allowed world leaders to talk about something else as opposed to the sharp decline into world recession.

It also was a boom for the pharmaceutical companies who had to step up production to meet expected demand.

In the end it my be a case of WHO cried wolf or just a pig in a poke.