The Research and Branding opinion poll indicates that had fresh parliamentary elections been held last week Viktor Yushchenko’s party “Our Ukraine-Peoples Self-Defense bloc” would receive less then 3% support and lose representation with the overall reduction in the number of seats flowing on to Arseniy Yatseniuk’s “Front for Change” party and an increase in the number of seats allocated to Party of Regions and Bloc Lytvyn with a further loss of seats allocated to Bloc Yulia Tymoshenko and one seat reduction to the Communist Party of Ukraine. The poll reflects much the same overall voting pattern as the presidential poll.
Joint parliamentary and presidential elections are unlikely to occur. As of July 23 Yushchenko has lost authority to dismiss Ukraine’s parliament and looks set to lose all power at the next election.
|Candidate||Party||Parliament Election 2006||Parliament Election 2007||Research & Branding Group|
|Party of regions||PoR||32.1||186||34.4||175||29.3||209|
|Bloc Yulia Tymoshenko||BYuT||22.3||129||30.7||156||15.5||111|
|Bloc Arseniy Yatsenyuk||Y-Front||10.6||76|
|Communist Party of Ukraine||CPU||3.7||21||5.4||27||3.7||26|
|Our Ukraine-Peoples Self Defence||OU-PSD||14.0||81||14.2||72|
|Socialist Party of Ukraine||SPU||5.7||33||2.9|
|Not going to vote||9.8|
* notional seat allocation