Revolution has come to a stand still – There will be no mass protest in the streets

September 26, 2009

Ukraine will not see a repeat of events that saw mass protests in the streets in 2004 and the eventual election of Viktor Yushchenko to the presidency in an unprecedented and controversial third round ballot. Yulia Tymoshenko, Ukraine’s Prime-minister and main candidate for election in January’s poll has stated on TV and reported on national radio that “We will not challenge any election returns to avoid tremors, which may bring about instability in this country”.

“If the people elect their president, and this is not Yulia Tymoshenko, I will take this choice easy, for sure”

Her statement was also backed by Ukraine’s former President Leonid Kuchma who has excluded the possibility of a third round ballot.

According to the past President, during the election campaign in 2004 a decision about holding the third round was political and it will not be repeated. “The 2004 decision was an exclusion from a rule”.

This is a clear sign that the presidential elections are expected to produce a clear result that will be acceptable to all parties with the possible exception of Ukraine’s incumbent President, Viktor Yushchenko, who is expected to lose in the first round of the elections scheduled for January 17, 2010.

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Yushchenko’s plan to disrupt the elections begins to unravel as support drops away

September 26, 2009

Ukraine president, Viktor Yushchenko has shown signs that his proposed plan to disrupt Ukraine’s Presidential election and further destabilize Ukraine’s economy may be beginning to lose support. Days after Yushchenko had lodged an appeal in Ukraine’s Constitutional Court against the Law on the Presidential election Yushchenko’s Constitutional voice, Maryna Stavniychuk, has issued the first sign of backing down.

The deputy head of the presidential secretariat stated.

It is obvious that there are no serious political or legal grounds to consider the issue of the possible disruption of the presidential elections in Ukraine”

This is a clear indication that Ms Stavniychuk may have been given intel that the Constitutional Court will reject Yushchenko’s appeal as not having any substance. The head of the Constitutional Court has stated that the Court will not be considering Yushchenko’s appeal as a matter of urgency. It is also likely that Yushchenko has been advised that any attempt to disrupt the election would not be supported by the international community.

The other issue of concern is the announcement that the President of Ukraine will once again seek to block supply and misuse his authority to reject Ukraine’s budget. If this happens Yushchenko will cause a major constitutional and financial crisis and loss of confidence weeks before the Presidential poll.

Many western countries have removed or seriously limited the ability of the head of state to block supply and reject a government’s budget, the reason being that it is a power that is widely open to abuse.

Yushchenko is still languishing in the polls and in spite his claims that he will win the next election his support rating remains in single digits and he is not considered a player or a serious contender.